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USD to CAD – Daily Forex Analysis 13th September 2009

Monday, September 14th, 2009

USD to CAD - Forex Chart For Trading USD/CAD Currency Pair

USD to CAD - Forex Chart For Trading USD/CAD Currency Pair

Forex Technical Analysis

A week of sideways consolidation for the usd to cad forex market, came to an end on Friday with yet another small doji candle, as the currency pair desperately try to rebase in the 1.07 price area, a feature we have seen once again in today’s forex trading session. With all three moving averages now tightly bunched, the significance of these indicators is diluted at present as the pair continue to consolidate in this price region, and as I have outlined in previous posts, we could see some good swing trading opportunities in the next few weeks as the usd to cad pair oscillate between the 1.07 and 1.11 price levels. A break above the upper level would then provide a solid platform to a move higher, whilst a break below the 1.07 level will indicate that we could see a return of the  bearish momentum of the last few months, and an approach towards parity once again. With many forex market analysts now suggesting that the US dollar is over sold and due a correction, we need to consider our forex trading strategy very carefully in the next few days, as this could come sooner rather than later with a consequent rally in the usd to cad pair.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

A thin day of fundamental news on the economic calendar with the only Canadian figures being the Capacity Utilization Rate ( a catchy term!) which is a measure of how efficiently resources are being used in the country. The figures just released came in at 67.4%, down from last month’s 70.2% , but better than the forecast at 65.8% so a mixed picture, but not good news for the Canadian economy, although this indicator tends to have a relatively limited impact on the forex markets. The US markets are dominated by speeches today, with several FOMC members and President Obama all covering the recent financial crisis in one way or another so no doubt the markets will be waiting and watching for any key signals on future monetary or fiscal policy over the next few hours.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.

USD to CAD – Daily Forex Analysis 7th September 2009

Monday, September 7th, 2009
USD to CAD Daily Forex Analysis - 7th September 2009

USD to CAD Daily Forex Analysis - 7th September 2009

As we suspected towards the end of last week, the usd to cad forex pair finally ran out of steam and fell back exhausted at the effort to move higher, ending the forex trading session and week with a wide spread down bar which signalled once again that the usd to cad is heading lower in the medium term. Friday’s price action breached all three moving averages simultaneously, but as these are now tightly bunched therefore have less relevance than usual. The key support level in the short term is now fixed at 1.07 where the recent small rally found a platform, but should this be broken, then the next price level is 1.065, and from here it’s a straight drop back to parity! The weekly chart for the usd to cad looks equally bearish, with the trading week ending with a shooting star candle signified with a small body and deep upper wick, and with all three moving averages pointing sharply lower, a more dramatic fall seems likely in due course. With both the US and Canadian markets closed today for Labor day celebrations, there are no fundamental news items on the economic calendar for today, so the market may simply oscillate sideways today and wait for a return of full trading volumes tomorrow.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.

Forex Trading Analysis – USD to CAD 25th August 2009

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Forex Analysis usd to cad 24 Aug 2009

Forex Analysis usd to cad 24 Aug 2009

Forex Technical Analysis

The usd to cad continued to move lower in the forex trading session today, but given the lack of fundamental news and thin trading volumes, lacked any conviction in the move, and indeed the market would seem to be ‘tired’, and lacking momentum. Given that we  have now seen five consecutive down days, and coupled with the fact that the move lower ran out of steam at this level last time, it would be no great surprise to see a bounce higher in the next few days from this trading level as the market exerts a short squeeze. This technical view is reinforced by the fact that today’s price action has found some support at the 1.078 price level, where the usd to cad pair bounced back in early June. Any crossing of he moving averages in such a bounce would suggest a longer term rally rather than a short term pullback.

Fundamental Forex Analysis

The only fundamental news item tomorrow on the economic calendar for Canada  is a speech by Bank of Canada deputy Governor Timothy Lane, who is due to deliver a speech entitled “The Canadian Economy Beyond the Recession” at the Canadian Association for Business Economics, in Kingston. As always his words will be analysed for any clues as to the future policy for interest rates and monetary policy in the next few months from the BOC. The other main news item for the pair is the CB Consumer confidence index, released earlier in the US, and I have covered these and other fundamental news items in more detail on the euro to dollar site.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency  news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.